Michael Babad – The Globe and Mail

As the Bank of Canada and other market watchers keep a wary eye on Toronto housing, condo buyers are out in force.

Indeed, the market for new condominiums in Canada’s biggest city appears headed for one of its best-ever years.

Comment: Which would have something to do with how many projects are launched and how many are for sale. Last year had less sales, but less projects and fewer condos to buy. More projects this year = more condos available to buy and thus sales are up.

Urbanation, which tracks the city’s condo market, said Thursday that both sales and prices for new units climbed in the third quarter of the year.

Sales in the quarter rose to 4,753, a level Urbanation said marked the third-best summer, after 2011 and 2007. It also marked a 53% gain from the 10-year low in the same period of last year.

Comment: As I said, fewer for sale = fewer sales. And this year people are finally giving up on houses and going to condos in larger numbers.

On a rolling basis, condo sellers have sold more than 19,000 units in the year ending in September.

“Sales were boosted by a number of highly successful new project launches during the quarter, but more importantly by increased absorptions at pre-existing projects,” Urbanation said, which means the number of unsold units, from those in pre-construction to those completed, shrank by 11%.

Also noteworthy was the fact that the share of condos in development that have already been sold, more than 104,000, rose in the quarter to a record 84%.

Comment: Right, so there aren’t very many that are going to “flood the market” on completion. And another 14% will be sold by completion, maybe more.

Average selling prices rose by 3% from a year earlier, to $555 a square foot, while those for unsold units increased by 2% to an average $571.

“There is still quite a bit of pent-up demand that came out of the slowdown last year,” Urbanation senion vice-president Shaun Hildebrand said in a statement.

“Should market confidence continue to hold in spite of the recent turmoil in financial markets, this sales momentum will carry into the final months of 2014 and early 2015.”

Well, that’s the question, isn’t it?

Just last week, the Bank of Canada noted that while eastern Canadian housing markets appear headed for a soft landing, those in Ontario, British Columbia and Alberta are still going great guns.

By that, the central bank means Toronto, Vancouver and Calgary.

The Bank of Canada noted “renewed vigour” in Canadian housing, all of which again raises flags about what the central bank calls household imbalances, or rather swollen debt levels.

In the past, under a different governor, the central bank went so far as to threaten a rate hike to cool things down, though the current chief shows no signs of doing that.

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Contact Laurin Jeffrey for more information – 416-388-1960

Laurin Jeffrey is a Toronto real estate agent with Century 21 Regal Realty.
He did not write these articles, he just reproduces them here for people who
are interested in Toronto real estate. He does not work for any builders.
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